Princeton University Library Catalog

A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH TO THE SURPRISE EXAMINATION PROBLEM

Author/​Artist:
Robbins, Brennan Nicholas [Browse]
Format:
Senior thesis
Language:
English
Advisor(s):
Kment, Boris C. [Browse]
Contributor(s):
Fara, Delia G. [Browse]
Department:
Princeton University. Department of Philosophy [Browse]
Class year:
2015
Description:
44 pages
Summary note:
In “A Probabilistic Approach to the Surprise Examination Problem,” I use basic facts about probability and credence functions to reconstruct a famous argument for a purported paradox: a student should not believe a professor’s decree that there will be a surprise examination. I provide four reasons to suggest that the reconstructed argument is flawed, most notably that it is self-undermining.