Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies : report 2 / Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National Academies.

Author
National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies [Browse]
Format
Book
Language
English
Published/​Created
Washington : National Academies Press, 2010
Description
xiv, 82 p. : col. ill. ; 28 cm. + 1 CD-ROM (4 3/4 in.)

Details

Subject(s)
Notes
Accompanying CD-ROM contains figures (JPEG images) from chapter 2 and appendix F and transcripts (PDF files) from appendixes D and E.
Bibliographic references
Includes bibliographical references.
Contents
SUMMARY -- 1. INTRODUCTION -- 2. MODEL DESIGN OPTIONS FOR FORECASTING SYSTEMS: First forecasting system - intelligence cycle option -- Second forecasting system - roadmapping option -- Third forecasting system - crowdsourced option -- Fourth forecasting system - storytelling option -- Evaluation of models and the activity -- 3. ANALYSIS AND FINAL THOUGHTS: Can a next-generation persistent disruptive technology forecasting system be build using exiting technologies and methods? -- Features of a next-generation system -- Characteristics of a next-generation forecasting system -- Laying a foundation for subsequent steps -- APPENDIXES.
ISBN
  • 0309149045
  • 9780309149044
OCLC
655759744
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