LEADER 02991cam a22004095i 4500001 99131234847506421 005 20170413131211.0 006 m o d 007 cr cn||||||||| 008 020129s2017 dcu o i00 0 eng^^ 024 7 10.1596/26273 |2doi 035 (CKB)4920000001213580 035 (The World Bank)26273 035 (US-djbf)26273 035 (EXLCZ)994920000001213580 040 DJBF |beng |cDJBF |erda 100 1 Haque, Tobias. 245 10 Push and Pull : |bEmerging Risks in Frontier Economy Access to International Capital Markets. / |cTobias Haque. 246 Push and Pull 264 1 Washington, D.C. : |bThe World Bank, |c2017. 336 text |btxt |2rdacontent 337 computer |bc |2rdamedia 338 online resource |bcr |2rdacarrier 347 data file |2rda 490 1 Other papers 520 3 Over the past decade, a large number of low- and lower-middle income 'frontier economies' have begun to access international private capital markets to meet fiscal financing needs. In this paper we seek to identify drivers of this trend, identify associated risks, and present policy implications for frontier-market policy-makers. Through simple analysis of the characteristics of recent frontier market issuers, we show that smaller, poorer, and less well-governed economies are now accessing global credit markets. Through cross-country regression analysis, however, we demonstrate that the capacity of these countries to issue debt (and the cost of this debt) continues to be influenced by their macroeconomic performance and quality of governance. Drawing on evidence from Ghana and Zambia, we illustrate potential risks arising from recent expansions of access to global debt markets, where rapid debt accumulation of foreign-denominated debt in the context of lessened market discipline and following recent debt relief is now posing pronounced debt sustainability and refinancing risks. We conclude that increased access to international debt markets presents both opportunities and risks to frontier issuers. The new cohort of frontier issuing economies should: i) take careful account of debt risks and debt sustainability considerations when developing fiscal policy and debt strategies; ii) work to reduce the costs of ongoing external borrowing through adopting sound economic policies and protecting credit ratings; and iii) develop domestic debt markets as a potential alternative source of fiscal financing through which to reduce reliance on foreign-denominated Eurobond debt with its associated refinancing and currency risks. 650 4 Access to Finance 650 4 Capital Markets and Capital Flows 650 4 Debt 650 4 Debt Markets 650 4 Finance 650 4 Finance and Financial Sector Development 650 4 International Financial Markets 650 4 Macroeconomics 700 1 Bogoev, Jane. 700 1 Haque, Tobias. 700 1 Smith, Greg. 830 0 Other papers 830 0 World Bank e-Library. 906 BOOK