LEADER 03998nam a22006733i 4500001 99125247201606421 005 20241107095048.0 006 m o d | 007 cr#-n--------- 008 231110t20141996enka ob 001 0 eng d 020 1-134-76541-X 020 1-134-76542-8 020 1-280-22125-9 020 9786610221257 020 0-203-98205-3 024 7 10.4324/9780203982051 |2doi 035 (CKB)1000000000253861 035 (EBL)1138316 035 (SSID)ssj0000248943 035 (PQKBManifestationID)11221946 035 (PQKBTitleCode)TC0000248943 035 (PQKBWorkID)10202729 035 (PQKB)10698124 035 (MiAaPQ)EBC1138316 035 (OCoLC)252723417 035 (oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/38636 035 (MiAaPQ)EBC7245320 035 (Au-PeEL)EBL7245320 035 (OCoLC)824536065 035 (ODN)ODN0004067439 035 (EXLCZ)991000000000253861 040 MiAaPQ |beng |erda |epn |cMiAaPQ |dMiAaPQ 041 eng 043 f-sa--- 050 4 HC905 |b.T374 2014 082 0 330.968/064 |220 084 BUS000000BUS069000 |2bisacsh 100 1 Tarp, Finn, |d1951- |eauthor. 245 14 The South African economy : |bmacroeconomic prospects for the medium term / |cFinn Tarp and Peter Brixen. 260 |c2005. 264 1 Oxfordshire, England ;New York : |bRoutledge, |c2014. 264 4 |c©1996 300 1 online resource (236 p.) 336 text |btxt 337 computer |bc 338 online resource |bcr 490 1 Routledge Studies in Development Economics, |x1359-7884 500 Description based upon print version of record. 505 0 Cover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; List of Figures; List of Table and Boxes; Preface; Acknowledgements; Abbreviations; 1. INTRODUCTION; 2. GENERAL COUNTRY BACKGROUND; Macroeconomic features and trend; Socio-economic characteristics; Legacies of apartheid in perspective; Policy frameworks; 3. ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK AND BASE YEAR DATA; Prices and exchange rates; Material balance; Balance of payments; Money market; Government accounts; Other variables; Disaggregated GDP and export data; Conclusion; 4. MODELLING FRAMEWORKS; The financial programming approach of the IMF 505 8 The Revised Minimum Standard Model of the World BankDiscussion; 5. MODEL EXPERIMENTS; Experiment 1: Exchange rate depreciation; Experiment 2: Government external borrowing; Experiment 3: Foreign reserves; Experiment 4: Domestic inflation; Experiment 5: GDP growth; Experiment 6: Export quantity versus export price; Conclusion; 6. BASE RUN; Background; Demand and supply; Prices and exchange rates; Balance of payments; Government accounts; Asset stocks; Conclusion; 7. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS; Introduction; Alternative assumptions; Results; Summing-up; 8. CONCLUSION 505 8 APPENDIX A: Modelling frameworks in GAMSA.1 Introduction; A.2 Financial Programming Framework; A.3 The Revised Minimum Standard Model; APPENDIX Β: BASE RUN; APPENDIX C: OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO; APPENDIX D: PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO; Bibliography; Index 520 What are the macroeconomic prospects for South Africa until the new millennium? Two methods of macroeconomic modelling, associated with the World Bank and IMF, are used here to generate three scenarios, based on moderately optimistic projections. The methodology used can be applied to other developing countries. 546 English 504 Includes bibliographical references and index. 588 Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (EBook Central, viewed December 18, 2023). 650 0 Economic forecasting |zSouth Africa |xEconometric models. 651 0 South Africa |xEconomic conditions |y1991- |xEconometric models. 651 0 South Africa |xEconomic policy |xEconometric models. 776 |z0-415-14260-1 700 1 Brixen, Peter, |d1963- |eauthor. 830 0 Routledge studies in development economics. 906 BOOK